Monday, 23 March 2009

SRI LANKA: ‘END OF WAR’ STORES UP MAJOR NEW CONFLICTS


TAMIL PEOPLE MUST HAVE RIGHT TO DECIDE OWN FUTURE

The understanding given by the Sri Lankan Army-controlled media that the war is almost finished, and the victory over the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) is just a matter of time, is the kind of falsehood practiced in all wars. It is, however, pertinent to emphasise that the LTTE is facing defeat in the present phase of the decades-long civil war.

The claims of the army commanders that the battle zone is restricted to an increasingly small geographical area with the LTTE operations confined to between 30 and 50 square kilometres, is only one interpretation of the reality on the ground. To think that the war with the LTTE – a heavily armed guerrilla force - will come to an end with such strategies is like believing Jehovah's Witnesses predictions about the end of the world.

The course of events in the Eastern Province of the country, after the so-called victory over the LTTE, is just an indication of the complexity of a war conducted against a guerrilla force fighting a national liberation struggle. The defection of former LTTE leader in that area, Karuna, undoubtedly gave the Sri Lankan Army a huge advantage. The 'pacification' of the East, with elections carried through often literally at gunpoint, has contributed to the pushing back of the LTTE in the North.

The powers that be on an international scale want to believe the Sri Lankan Army propaganda in the hope that the "terrorist LTTE" headache will be eliminated and they can get on with doing business here. For the 'Big Brother' of the region, India, it is urgent that the war comes to an end because of the explosions within its southern areas especially in Tamil Nadu.

Human disaster

'Eelam War 4', as it has been labeled by the Sri Lankan media, is now getting dangerously close to civilians trapped in the war zone. A few days ago, the 55th Division of the SLA claimed the sinking of 10 boats operating under the command of the 'Sea Tiger' leader, Soosai. This is another indication that the LTTE is prepared to fight on till the bitter end, regardless of civilian casualties. Independent estimates say that there are still nearly 200,000 people living - or rather, waiting to die - in the war zone. They are in the unprecedented situation of having to live amongst the heavy military equipment, such as mortars and other artillery, which the LTTE has housed in the area and which constitutes their last hope.

It is not difficult to understand in this situation why the LTTE is not allowing civilians to go out of the battle zone. Maybe most of the civilians have even decided to stay with the LTTE to the end, as each of the people has lost some of their nearest and dearest in the 30 year bloody war. The choice of going out of the war zone is like choosing between the devil and the deep blue sea. The fate of people who have gone over to the so-called safe areas controlled by the SLA is like walking into concentration camps. Every Tamil is regarded as an LTTE suspect.

Tension mounts as the JVP and the Sinhala chauvinist government are discussing Sinhala settlers being implanted in the North of Sri Lanka. Already 40,000 villagers in the 'border areas' of Sri Lanka's South have been given arms by the government to protect themselves. Such measures are a guarantee of further outbursts of violence and a continuation of the national conflict in Sri Lanka in one form or another.

The euphoria of the envisaged "victory" is already in the air. All the hard-line communal groups are campaigning with a propaganda which says this military victory will be a victory of the Sinhalese over the Tamils. They also describe this as a rare occasion - Sri Lanka being unified by a Sinhalese ruler.

Given the situation on the ground, it cannot be ruled out that the SLA will move in to clear the LTTE-controlled areas sooner rather than later. But the big question remains what happens after that. Even if one can say that the LTTE will be defeated militarily, it is by no means certain that they will be defeated politically, especially with the growing concerns and support that is witnessed in Tamil Nadu and among the Tamil Diaspora around the world.

In the south of the country, the extreme Sinhala nationalist forces are working overtime to thwart any attempt to introduce any substantial devolution of power. The "majoritarian Sinhala Buddhist" campaign will get shriller as the war victory arrives. The pseudo Marxist, Janata Vimukthi Perumuna (People's Liberation Front - JVP) has already started its gutter-stirring politics by building resistance to any power devolution. It hopes to come back to the limelight using that as its core issue at the present time. A section of the SLA will strongly support this idea.

President Mahinda Rajapaksa will have to ride new rough waters as he prepares to address the post-war situation. What is his offer to the Tamil national minority? He is already under extreme pressure from India and other western powers. Military victory over the LTTE is likely to be short-lived for him as he will open up new political battle zones very soon.

All Tamils, including Tamil-speaking Muslims, in Sri Lanka must be finding it hard to comprehend what the three decades of armed struggle has achieved for them. It is easy to point to the follies and the blind alley of individual terrorism and armed guerrilla tactics in the modern context and the lack of appeal by the 'Tigers' for mass struggle against the regime. Nevertheless the primary responsibility for the disastrous war must be seen in the inability of the capitalist class to solve the basic issues affecting ordinary working and poor people, including granting the democratic right of Tamils to self-determination. The history of this in Sri Lanka, especially since independence from the British, is glaringly manifested. The early leaders of the Tamils, during the 1950s, asked only for equal rights for the Tamil language. This was not acceptable to the Sinhala capitalist class. At the same time, betrayals by dilly-dallying working class leaders have to be equally condemned for not taking up this issue and linking it with the class struggle against imperialism, local capitalists and landlords.

As socialists, we in the United Socialist Party (CWI in Sri Lanka) have taken a principled stand, from the very inception of our work, to defend the right to self-determination of Tamil people as a major step ton the road towards solving the national question. More concretely, at present we are campaigning first and foremost to stop the biggest human disaster happening to the war trapped civilians in the Mulaittivu jungles. The Sri Lankan government has pushed forward to finish the war; they have promised again and again to end it before the Sri Lankan New Year in April. Nearly 200,000 people lives are at stake. Now the working class internationally must organise their voice against this mass slaughter. Already tremendous support is building among the working class and ordinary people in India through a campaign launched under the name "Stop the Slaughter of Tamils" (See article of 19 March on this site). We appeal to workers and other oppressed sections internationally to join this campaign and fight to end this war immediately. Take up the fight also to win genuine democratic rights for all in Sri Lanka.

Provincial elections

The last provincial council elections were held on14 February in central and north central Sri Lanka. Mahinda Rajapaksa's 'Sandanaya Alliance' managed to win easily with nearly 65% of votes cast. Rajapaksa is still popular among the Sinhala voters because of the prospect of a war victory. But it is clear that the majority of Tamil and Muslim voters have not voted for Rajapaksa.

In Kandy district, for example, Sandanaya has not got a singleTamil or Muslim member amongst the 18 councillors they won. In Nuwara Eliya, the unprincipled party of Thondeman claims to represent the super-exploited plantation workers there, but he also supports the Rajapaksa government. It had 7 councillors but this time it has been reduced to three. Another ally of Rajapasa's, 'Sandanaya Chandrasekaran', had three councillors. This time it has been reduced to nil. All this shows the anger against the Rajapaksa regime by ordinary Tamil people who live totally outside the North East.

In these elections the USP contested 3 out of 5 districts. There were two other left parties who also contested. In general in the last many elections the USP has managed to come in 4th place. Similarly, in this election also the USP has come 4th and 5th. This is in spite of having leading candidates on the list held in prison on trumped up charges and only released after the election was over!

In fact, we got more votes than other left organisations. For example, in Nuwara Eliya the USP received 688 votes, the 'Left Front' (of the Nava Sama Samaja Party) won 118 and the Socialist Equality Party got 98 votes. In Matale district, the Left Front contested alone and they got just 60 votes.

Even though we are not happy contesting elections in a semi-dictatorial situation, because of the lack of a working class and left alternative in the country, we have been compelled to contest the elections again, this time in Western Province (Colombo, Gampaha and Kalutara districts) on April 25. The Left Front and the SEP are contesting again but only in the Colombo district.

In this election, the USP is campaigning above all to stop the war but also to defend the right of self-determination of the Tamil people, the freedom to live and to form joint trade union councils to fight against cuts and win the demands of the working class. The recent discussions with the International Monetary Fund about a $1.9 billion hand-out also involved promises of austerity for workers. Big political and class battles could open up quite quickly, given the major difficulties of capitalism locally and internationally.

Siritunga Jayasuriya, United Socialist Party (CWI in Sri Lanka)

20 March 2009


 

Wednesday, 25 February 2009

CWI ANALYSIS : HOW TO FIGHT THE ECONOMIC CRISIS


CAPITALIST CRISIS,

MASS CONSCIOUSNESS

AND

A SOCIALIST PROGRAMME

How can working-class people fight the effects of the worst economic crisis since the 1930s? Mass lay-offs are already a feature in the major capitalist countries and around the world. The bosses and their governments are on the offensive to make the working class, and large sections of the middle classes, pay for the catastrophe they have created.

World capitalism is in a blind alley and its serious representatives see no quick exit. Take your pick; from the gloomy prognostications for the economy from Alistair Darling, British Chancellor of the Exchequer – 'the worst for 60 years' – to Ed Balls, schools cabinet minister in the New Labour government, who says it is the worst in 100 years! Most capitalist commentators now agree with our analysis, that at the very least, this is the worst economic crisis since the great depression of the 1930s and may yet exceed it.

In a sense, this crisis is potentially even worse than then. The extent of capitalist globalisation, which led to this crash,, is much wider and deeper than existed in the so-called 'gilded age' before 1929. For this reason, it is already the most internationalised, generalised economic crisis in history. The US, western Europe, Japan, eastern Europe, Russia, Asia, Australasia and Latin America; all have been caught up in the downward economic whirlpool. It has certainly developed at a speed and with a severity that exceeds even the initial phases of the 1930s depression.

The crisis then began in the stock exchanges, spreading to the financial sector and inexorably into the so-called 'real economy'. Today's crisis was triggered by the financial meltdown, fed into industry, and now has fed back into the financial sector. But 1929's full effects were only felt over time – in the case of France, two or three years after – whereas this crisis has struck with a speed and severity that has terrified, if not demoralised, the representatives of world capitalism. What took three years in 1929 could now unfold in a year.

This crisis is marked by overproduction; a glut of goods, which the bosses are trying to solve through mass unemployment of the working class. But it is also leading to 'overproduction' even amongst sections of the middle class, who are being ejected from workplaces alongside workers. In other words, the proletarianisation of the intermediate layers, a feature of capitalism even during the boom, is taking a qualitative step forward. This in turn undermines the social reserves of capitalism.

Capitulation by workers' organisations

The capitalists are trembling at the social consequences of further economic implosions to come. Their only consolation is that they face no organised challenge from the working class, because of the political beheading of the former workers' organisations, at the hands of leaders like Tony Blair in Britain and their social-democratic cousins in Europe and elsewhere. They went over lock, stock and barrel to the side of the bourgeoisie in the aftermath of the collapse of Stalinism and the ideological, pro-capitalist tsunami that ensued. The result is that the mass of working-class people are politically disarmed in the teeth of the greatest challenge to their hard-won rights and conditions in living memory.

Without leadership and organisation when the capitalists have used the cover of the crisis to put the boot in, mass anger has poured out spontaneously both in the factories and onto the streets. This happened in Ireland as the government sought to eliminate health benefits for the elderly. It was followed by angry protests including occupations or threats to do so at Waterford Crystal and Dell, as brutal capital shut down whole factories with as little difficulty as shutting a matchbox. The same outrageous scenes were seen in the ending of the weekend shift at BMW's Mini plant in Cowley, Oxford, which provoked unprecedented protests including fist fights between workers and supervisors. However, for this elemental revolt of the working class to lead to a sustained movement, what is required is a clear programme, including fighting slogans, and organisation.

The capitulation, also shared by the trade union leaders, actually helped to reinforce the brutal imposition of neo-liberal policies on the working class and the poor worldwide. The bourgeoisie, no longer forced to look over its shoulder at an organised working class or fearful of a labour movement revolt, was therefore unrestrained in the mad dash towards unregulated capitalism. The former leaders of the workers' organisations proved to be a fifth wheel in the chariot of neo-liberalism. The complete pusillanimity of the union leaders is evident in the capitulation to the bosses and their governments as the latter seek to unload responsibility for this crisis on to the shoulders of the working class and poor.

The masses are quite clear who are responsible. In Italy, the students, a barometer of what is developing from below, have chanted on demonstrations: 'We will not pay for your crisis'. What a contrast to the belly-crawling attitude of the trade union leaders as factories close down around the ears of the working class and all that we hear from the summits of the labour movement is the need for 'shared sacrifices'. Leon Trotsky wrote in the 1930s that the crisis facing the working class, indeed humanity, was summed up in the crisis of leadership of the workers' organisations. The difference today, however, is that we face not just a crisis of leadership but also of organisation, or the lack of it, for the working class as well as a clear programme.

Never in history has the gap – the 'scissors' – between the objective situation of capitalism in crisis and the outlook of the working class, its absence of organisation, particularly political mass parties, been so evident. Given the relentless propaganda barrage, the reality of neo-liberal policies over 30 years and the absence of a political and economic alternative, it is inevitable that there is still, despite the severity of the crash, a residual acquiescence to the 'market', even amongst the working class. Many are stunned by the economic collapse. There is even a lingering view amongst many workers that the present crisis is temporary, that it will all be over by the end of next year, at the latest, and we can then return to the sunny, economic uplands.

Bleak economic outlook

These illusions are fostered by the 'popular' press and one wing of bourgeois economists and commentators. However, another section has drawn the conclusion that this time the party is really over. For instance, Sean O'Grady of The Independent declared bluntly in January: "High unemployment is here to stay". In America's great depression, unemployment did not regain its level of 1929 until 1943 when the US economy was being dragged out of the economic mire by the devastating second world war. This puts in perspective the efforts of the Obama presidency as it seeks to wrestle with the avalanche of job cuts and redundancies which are rising by 600,000 a month. Unemployment in the US and Britain could touch 10% of the workforce in the next year or so, the effects of which in the modern context are akin to a depression.

If anything, the position is even worse in other parts of the world, paradoxically particularly in parts of Europe which were supposed to be immune. The pronouncements of the European Central Bank that the eurozone would escape the worst effects of the virus emanating from the US economy have turned to ashes. The continent has joined the general implosion of world capitalism, as has Japan. The latest forecasts for the latter are that gross domestic product could plunge by almost 10%. The great export-orientated machine of Japan is grinding to a halt, dropping by 3.3% in the last three months of 2008, an annualised rate of 12.7%. It has been joined by Germany, the economic powerhouse of Europe, while the lesser powers of the continent – Ireland, Spain, Italy, Greece, Portugal and Britain – risk following Iceland into national bankruptcy.

For the masses, it is as if it is warm and sunny one day and bleak, dark winter the next, without the transition of autumn. The fate of Spain which, along with Ireland, went further than most in an orgy of a debt-fuelled construction and housing boom, is summed up by the story of Zaragoza, featured in the Observer in February. The collapse of the building boom means that unemployment has rocketed in the city by 75% in a year. Spain could see unemployment shooting up from an already unacceptable 14% (3.3 million workers) to 20% by the end of this year. The working class is furious that it will bear the burden, with protesters coming out onto the streets in tens of thousands demanding 'Strike! Strike! Strike!'

Spain is just one example of what could happen to a series of countries, including Britain, which in time will provoke revolutionary explosions. If a conscious lead is not given then riots will ensue with a section of young people even possibly seduced into taking to the road of terrorism, which is a complete blind alley. The explosive events in Greece revealed that anarchistic and terroristic moods amongst a small section would be evident at a certain stage. Mass action, freed from the paralysing influence of opportunist leaders, is the only way forward.

British oil refinery strikes: confusion and clarity

An expression of the indignation was contained even in the eruption of strikes from below of the construction workers in the oil refineries and power stations in Britain. This was a laboratory test in measuring the consciousness of the working class and how different political trends faced up to this. Given the dark night of neo-liberalism, it would be entirely utopian not to expect that elements of nationalism and even racism would be present in the consciousness of some workers, in some instances perhaps the majority. This, however, was not the case in this dispute as we have demonstrated in our weekly paper, The Socialist. It was, in essence, a strike against the capitalist 'race to the bottom' to impose slave labour rates, orchestrated by the bosses on a European scale through the anti-working class legislation, the European Posted Workers Directive, and the EU itself.

This was skewed in the minds of some workers towards nationalism, expressed through 'British jobs for British workers'. This was coined originally by prime minister Gordon Brown in a New Labour conference speech, in an attempt to outflank the far-right British National Party (BNP). Without clear guidance from the leadership, such an initial reaction of the workers, not just in Britain but elsewhere, is no surprise. But this was a minor feature of the strike, and was soon cut across by the intervention of more conscious socialists, particularly from the Socialist Party, who fought for the same rights, wages and conditions for migrant workers. In the Russian revolution, the tsarist general staff feared the presence of one Bolshevik who could act as a 'crystal in a saturated solution', as Trotsky put it, capable in a heated atmosphere of drawing the majority to its side. We witnessed something similar in this strike with socialists and Marxists, some from the Socialist Party, completely cutting across any elements of nationalism or racism. Clear solidarity was expressed with the migrant workers including the printing of a leaflet in Italian and a resolute demand for all workers to receive the rate for the job.

Predictably, some far-left groups without a real presence or even an ear to the real moods of the workers in this strike took a completely false position. The Socialist Workers Party (SWP), for instance, concentrated on criticism and emphasised 'British jobs for British workers' as the main feature of the strike. Pushed aside was the fact that the BNP members who turned up on the picket line were driven off by the workers. Moreover, the strike magnificently achieved an element of workers' control and trade union involvement in the allocation of new jobs. Of course, one swallow does not make a summer but the workers in this industry and elsewhere now have a living example of how to fight in defence of workers' living standards and, at the same time, overcome national or racial divisions in a complicated situation and actually secure a victory for the working class.

In the aftermath of the strike, the 'conciliation' service ACAS has concluded that the foreign-contracted workers did not receive lower rates than the British workers. This is not true, but what is entirely forgotten is that agency workers formally may sometimes receive the same as 'domestic' or permanent workers in their weekly or monthly wage rates. But they do not receive payments for breaks, holidays or the overheads which the bosses worldwide are trying to wipe out as a means of boosting their profitability. The same applies in this dispute. This has been covered over by ACAS and acquiesced to by the full-time trade union officials who did not exactly cover themselves in glory while the strike was on, being concerned to distance themselves from unofficial action which might fall foul of Britain's draconian anti-union laws. This dispute primarily emphasised the positive outcome and saw the secondary features of nationalism swept aside by a combination of the experience of the workers in struggle and the intervention of socialists and Marxists.

Most of the far-left groups have no perception of how a mass movement will evolve, particularly given the character of the last period. This will not be in a perfectly rounded-out fashion but, as Oliver Cromwell described himself, with 'warts and all'. If these ultra-lefts had been present at the beginning of the 1905 Russian revolution, their starting point would have been, no doubt, to condemn Father Gapon, the priest who initially led the masses in the first demonstration under the tsarist flag, with a petition to the 'Little Father', the tsar. In contradistinction to Vladimir Lenin who urged participation in the movement and even discussed and collaborated in the initial phases of the revolution with Gapon, they would have demanded that the priest be removed from the demonstration as a precondition for their participation! How would they have reacted to James Larkin organising mass demonstrations of Catholic and Protestant workers in 1907 with Orange and Green bands in the common struggle against the bosses?

While making no concessions to racial or national prejudices, it is necessary, above all because of the period we have just passed through, for socialists to approach the existing political outlook of the working class in a skilful fashion. We do not have the luxury of the Russian sage who answered the question, 'How do I get to Moscow?' by answering, 'I would not start from here if I was you'. The working class, particularly after a period of alleged social peace, never emerges into struggle fully formed, like Minerva from the head of Jupiter.

Bitter class hatred

There is a gathering rage within the working class, signified by the semi-insurrectionary mood in Greece last year and the colossal anti-Sarkozy strikes which convulsed France on 29 January. Not so long ago, Nicolas Sarkozy jeered that, despite his attacks on the French workers and the youth, 'where are the strikes?' He was given his answer in the elemental revolt indicated by these strikes, which far exceeded in scope and turnout on demonstrations what was anticipated even by the organisers in the trade union leadership. Over two million workers flooded the streets of the cities of France. Sarkozy, sensing the underlying explosive mood before the strikes, immediately gave concessions to the school students as a means of heading off the movement. This did not prevent the strikes taking place, which indicated a whiff of 1968 itself.

There are, however, even in France, which is still politically in the vanguard of the workers' movement in Europe, important differences in the outlook of the French working class between 1968 and now. Paradoxically, the economic situation is far worse for capitalism today than it was in 1968 when the greatest general strike in history took place against the background of a continuing boom. Then, there was a broad socialist and even a revolutionary consciousness amongst workers and students. Given what has transpired in the last three decades combined, as we have pointed out, with the capitulation of the leaders of the workers' organisations to capitalism, the mood is bound to lag behind that of 1968. There is a mixed outlook and a certain political confusion.

There is, undoubtedly, generalised bitter class hatred throughout the advanced capitalist countries for those who are seen as the main authors of the present economic catastrophe, namely the financiers and bankers. Semi-public trials have unfolded in the British parliament and US Congress. The ire of the masses was expressed in France on the streets but, noticeably even here, was initially directed against the bankers and the figure of Sarkozy, despite his demagogic attempts to separate himself from the bankers. If even in France there is not yet a broad anti-capitalist consciousness, then it is perhaps even less the case in other European countries.

In Greece, the situation is somewhat different, with pronounced elements of a pre-revolutionary situation already present. This is reflected in the utter bankruptcy of the Greek bourgeoisie and its state, the desperation of the mass of the working class and the youth at their poverty-stricken condition and their preparedness to struggle, as shown in three general strikes to now. It is also reflected in the complete incapacity of the official parties of capitalism – New Democracy and the ex-socialist PASOK – and the corresponding rise of a new workers' party, SYRIZA. This is combined with the bleak economic future facing Greece. So desperate is the economic situation that its economy has been downgraded by ratings agency Moody's, which could presage a refusal to buy government debt by capitalist investors. This could lead to economic collapse and, in turn, could see Greece leave or be evicted from the eurozone.

It could also herald a series of partial or even outright national bankruptcies, as witnessed in the 1930s in Europe and neo-colonial regions such as Latin America. Greece could be joined very easily by Spain, Portugal and even Ireland if bond traders go on strike and refuse to buy government debt. Faced with this situation, the ruling class would unhesitatingly resort to even more savage measures attacking the wages and conditions of the working class. The conditions of the working class in this situation of decaying capitalism is like a man on a downward escalator frantically running just to maintain his position.

Discrediting capitalism

Quite calmly and 'soberly', the ideologues of capitalism debate the merits of deflation – falling prices, cuts in production and mass unemployment – versus inflation – an increase in prices – as the best means of preserving their position. Deflation and inflation are heads and tails of the same capitalist coin, and the working class is called on to pay. This was shown by one writer in the Financial Times who calmly declared that companies will benefit from inflation because a portion of the debt will disappear, benefitting those companies with fixed-interest debts. On the other hand: "Higher inflation allows more companies and workers to agree to real wage cuts than would otherwise be the case. This is both useful for those firms that are currently uncompetitive, and preferable for [capitalist] society, because wage cuts are more equitable than unemployment". In other words, the working class must pay, profits must be maintained, if not increased, at the expense of the working class.

Clearly, capitalism and with it the working class have entered a brutal new era. The burning question is how to close the gap between the underlying objective situation, of the drawn-out crisis of capitalism, indeed a series of crises, and how to make concrete the slogan of the Italian youth: 'We will not pay for your crisis'. What is involved here – as the recent strikes at the British refineries and the outburst of anger at Cowley at the summary dismissal of 850 workers with an hour's notice show – is the need for a fighting programme. Obviously, the case for a general change from outmoded capitalism to a new socialist society has to be made.

This crisis is proof, if any were needed, that boom and bust, the economic cycle of capitalism described by Karl Marx and so derided by the overwhelming majority of 'intellectual' opinion in the past period, has reasserted its validity. Inequality can no more be overcome within the framework of capitalism than could Canute turn back the waves. Inequality is the essence of capitalism, revealed clearly in the relationship between the workers and the capitalists. As Marx pointed out, the capitalists buy the labour power of the working class in order to exploit it. The working class only receives back a portion of the new value it has created, the rest being unpaid labour, the profit that is garnered by the capitalists. The class struggle, as Trotsky pointed out, is nothing else but the struggle over the division of the surplus product. The more that this surplus product is fought over – particularly when profits stagnate or decline, as is the case now – the more intense the class struggle. The starting point of the working class in this situation must be a determination to resist the onslaught of capital, to defend all past gains, before going on to make new conquests.

Contrary to what the bourgeois ideologists argue, capitalism, particularly in its neo-liberal phase, is not the best nor the most efficient vehicle to maximise production and distribute products efficiently to the peoples of the world. The idea that capitalism was a seamless system, not subject to abrupt breakdowns, which was prevalent particularly following the collapse of the Berlin wall, is now utterly discredited. Tucked away from the gaze of the working class in their 'quality' journals, the defenders of capitalism admit this: "Conservatives… actually believe in the capitalist system. Anyone who understands capitalism knows that it is programmed to fail from time to time. Conservative economic teachings hold that recessions are much like the weather. It may be possible to mitigate its effects, but impossible to change its nature". (Peter Oborne, right-wing political columnist for the Daily Mail.)

A transitional approach

No mention of a rosy future: if capitalism breaks down we, the working class, must pay. This is the essence of Oborne's stormy weather scenario, a world in which the state is the umbrella for capitalism while the workers receive a soaking in the form of mass unemployment. We are not going to pay and we must demand an entirely more humane system. Socialism must be the policy of the working class. Even Newsweek declared: "We are all socialists now". Unfortunately, this is not yet the case for the overwhelming majority of the victims of this system, the working class and the poor. Therefore, while demanding a democratic, socialist planned economy, as a crowning idea in the programme of socialists and Marxists, it is necessary to put forward fighting transitional demands in the current situation.

In pre-1914 social democracy, such an approach was considered unnecessary. Its programme was divided between a maximum programme, the idea of socialism, and a minimum day-to-day programme. That decisively changed with the onset of the first world war which led to the revolutionary explosions in Russia and the mass struggles and revolutionary waves which detonated in the aftermath of the 1917 revolution throughout Europe and the world. In this changed situation, the struggle for basic reforms and even the defence of past gains, came up directly against the limits of the system of capitalism itself. The Bolsheviks therefore formulated a transitional programme as a bridge – taking into account the day-to-day demands of the working class – from the existing level of consciousness to the idea of the socialist revolution. This was necessary even during the Russian revolution because of the differing and changing outlooks of the different sections of the working class. This was summed up in Lenin's wonderful pamphlet, The Threatening Catastrophe and How to Avoid It.

Following in Lenin's footsteps, Trotsky formulated for the revolutionary Fourth International the Transitional Programme: The Death Agony of Capitalism and the Tasks of the Fourth International. This was adopted in 1938 on the eve of what Trotsky correctly anticipated would be a devastating world war. Out of this conflagration would come a revolutionary wave and the transitional programme and its demands could play a key role in this process. A revolutionary wave did ensue but social democracy and Stalinism stepped in to save capitalism in the post-war situation. This in turn laid the political preconditions for the boom, the spectacular economic fireworks, which developed between 1950 and 1975. Consequently, Trotsky's ideas, which were fashioned for a revolutionary epoch, were never fully implemented in this period.

Some, like the SWP, therefore jettisoned both the transitional programme and the transitional approach. We defended Trotsky's method but recognised that it was necessary to modify some of the demands for different conditions, which the boom represented. The current situation facing the workers' movement in Britain, Europe and across the globe, however, means that this approach, if not all the demands of 1938, is now vital in the present struggle. In fact, it is more relevant now than when it was written in 1938 because the conditions which are developing are akin to the period anticipated. Trotsky demanded, for instance, 'work or full maintenance' in the teeth of endemic mass unemployment. We demand today, 'useful work, or a living income'. The working class refuses to shoulder the burden of this crisis. Let the bosses pay! If they cannot guarantee a maximum existence for the working class, we can't afford their system!

Nationalisation

It is also necessary in this explosive period to take up the partial demands of the working class both at the level of wages and conditions but also involving governmental action or inaction. A case in point is the burning anger directed against the banks, not just the crooks who have been caught, like Bernard Madoff and Allen Stanford, but the whole fraternity who have bankrupted their own industry and threaten to drag the whole of society, including the working class, into the abyss. They have allowed the state to step in to rescue them through massive bailouts. Yet the defeated, right-wing Republican presidential candidate, John McCain, is far from grateful. He has described the increase in state debt as "generational theft". But was it not his talisman, previous right-wing vice-president, Dick Cheney, who declared that "Reagan proved [US government] deficits don't matter"? It has still not stopped McCain, along with other Republicans, from considering full nationalisation of the banks.

Capitalist politicians can accept state rescue, so long as it is then run completely along capitalist lines and with the prospect of returning the 'nationalised' industries in the future to the very same private interests which ruined them in the first place. Some commentators in Britain envisage that banks could be nationalised and remain in the state sector for an estimated nine years.

The hypocrisy of McCain and his touching concern for future generations is belied by the colossal expenditure on the Iraq war, probably $3 trillion in total, which he supported to the hilt. The corruption of Madoff is as nothing to the creaming off of government cash by the 'privatised' construction industry to 'reconstruct Iraq'. Patrick Cockburn in the Independent commented: "The real looting of Iraq after the invasion was by US officials and not by the slums of Baghdad". In one case, auditors working for the government said "that $57.8 million was sent in 'pallet upon pallet of hundred-dollar bills' to the US comptroller for south-central Iraq… who had himself photographed standing with the mound of money". Although the extent of the robbery will probably never be known, up to $125 billion (£88bn) has simply disappeared. This is just one example of the way that the capitalists, not just in the US but world wide, use the state as a colossal milch cow.

The demand, in Britain and in the US in particular, is not for bailouts for the bankers but for the working and middle classes. Even the demand for nationalisation – because it is aimed at the bankers who are seen as responsible for the mess and which both Obama and the Brown government may be compelled to carry through despite its unpalatability to them – is not as popular as in previous periods. This is because the experience of the partial nationalisation so far in Britain and de facto in the US has alienated mass public opinion. The boards of these partially nationalised companies remain unreconstructedly capitalist in character. There were no celebrations similar to those which greeted the taking over of the mines in 1948 by the Labour government of the time, with the flying of red flags and big hopes for the future of the working class. This is because, for instance, Northern Rock's state takeover was marked with increased repossessions of homes, the sacking of 4,000 workers and, latterly, lavish bonuses for some of the capitalist crew who remain in charge of this bank. This is a form of state capitalism, not a step in the direction of socialism, as advocated by even reformist socialists in the Labour Party in the past, when it was a workers' party at bottom.

The need for democratic planning

On the other hand, the 'market' offers no alternative. In Britain in 1999, for instance, two thirds of jobs created were not in the much-vaunted 'entrepreneurial' private sector but were in the state sector. This itself is a confession of bankruptcy by capitalism. Moreover, the structures in private industry are not at all an example of the 'meritocracy' beloved of the upholders of the market. Indeed, so convulsive have been the effects of the crisis that more and more capitalist writers have revealed the real character of the conditions and management which are such an intrinsic part of neo-liberalism. For instance, Simon Caulkin in the Observer compares the structure of big business – including British Telecom, which the government, it has been leaked, has contingency plans to renationalise in the event of its collapse – as more of a mirror image of Stalinism than a prettified picture of an ideal capitalist firm. They are, according to him, "zombie-like in their structural and strategic similarity" with Stalinism.

Rather rudely, he declares of management: "With their faces towards the [chief executive officer] and their arses towards the customer" most managers are more concerned with earnings targets than producing a worthwhile product. The world's most efficient, conventionally managed corporation, General Electric, "spends 40% – that is, $60 billion – of its revenues on administration and overheads… The managers of large western corporations have much more in common with the apparatchiks of the command economies than is recognised". How much cheaper and efficient it would be to take over these firms, establish a system of workers' control and management, and install a socialist planned economy!

Caulkin's article is both a concession to Marx's argument that the internal management of even a capitalist factory – Marx was speaking about the conditions of the nineteenth century – was an example of planning. The factory system, Marx said, applied to the economy and the world as a whole, would represent democratic socialist planning through the elimination of the market. Now, ironically, giant corporations – monopolies – have a top-heavy bureaucracy on the lines of the former Soviet Union. The solution lies not with Stalinism or with the capitalist 'market' but with democratic socialist planning. This requires the opening of the books for inspection by representatives of the unions and working-class organisations, small businesspeople, etc, in order to inform working people of what is the real situation as a preparatory step for realising such a plan.

Bridging the gap

The need for a transitional programme in this era arises from the mixed consciousness of working-class people. This consciousness will be shaken and changed by the march of events. But the development of a rounded-out socialist consciousness, firstly of the most politically developed layers and then of the mass of the working class, can also be enormously facilitated by a transitional approach and a transitional programme – by adopting the method of Leon Trotsky brought up to date and filled out by the experience of the working class itself in struggle. This provides the bridge from the consciousness of working people today to the idea of socialist change. Sectarians have no need for such a bridge because they have no intention of passing over from the study, armchair or sideline to engage with the working class and, together with it, helping to change consciousness and increasing identification with socialism.

We have entered an entirely new period for the working class of Britain, Europe and the world. Even if Obama manages to put a partial cushion under US capitalism and thereby the world through stimulus programmes – and this is not at all certain – the situation that will arise from this crisis will be entirely different than the one before its onset. At best, the world economy will experience anaemic growth with the stubborn maintenance of mass unemployment. This, like fatty tissue in the body, is a symptom of a declining organism. Capitalism, however, will not disappear from the scene of history automatically. It is necessary to forge a powerful mass weapon which will be assisted by raising the level of understanding of working-class people – helped by a transitional programme – which can provide the helping hand for this failed system to make way for socialism.

Without such an approach, there is the danger that it will not be immediately evident to working people, even faced with the present economic catastrophe, what is the viable alternative. In the car industry, for instance, where wages have been slashed due to mass layoffs, there is an instinctive understanding by workers that there is 'no market' for their present products. But, given the high technique and skill that exists, it would take very little to convert the car industry, with a market faced with massive overproduction and a glut, to the production of useful goods, including green, environmentally-friendly vehicles. These are urgently needed for the world's population, in the context of a sustainable, environmentally-friendly transport system. Such a switch in production was achieved at the outbreak of the second world war but is frankly impossible given the chaos of capitalism today. This does, however, pose the demand for an alternative socialist society.

The gap between the increasingly worsening objective situation and the consciousness of the working class will close in the next period. Events – and explosive events at that – will help to ensure this. On the edge of an abyss, the mass of workers will confront the capitalist system – sometimes without a clear idea of what can be put in its place. The journey to a socialist and revolutionary consciousness will, however, be shortened considerably, the pain much less, if the working class embraces the transitional method and a transitional programme linking day-to-day struggles with the idea of socialism.

No to any burdens of the crisis of capitalism being placed on the backs of workers! No to mass unemployment, particularly the frightening prospect of a new generation being permanently on the dole. Nationalise the banks but with democratic, socialist forms of organisation, including the involvement of representatives of the working class, unions, small businesspeople, etc. A democratic socialist state sector will itself pose the issue of going further towards more nationalisation, encompassing the commanding heights of the economy. On this road, hope is offered to working-class people against the dead-end of stagnating, decaying world capitalism.

Peter Taaffe, CWI

23 February 2009

Thursday, 12 February 2009

Review: Slumdog Millionaire


SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE FAILS TO CAPTURE THE POPULAR IMAGINATION OF THE AVERAGE INDIAN AND OF COURSE THE PEOPLE OF THE 'SLUMS'

You would expect a film that has won five Critics' Choice Awards, four Golden Globes and seven Bafta Awards, and has been nominated for ten Academy Awards to be outstanding, or at least have some qualities that can inspire.

But Slumdog Millionaire, despite the hype, failed to transcend the parameters of the average expectations of a quality film.

It also failed to impress Indian audiences. In fact Time magazine reported that when it opened in India only 25% of the seats were full. The masses of India are always suspicious of large scale 'art productions'. They know through experience that the main aim of these projects is to make profits by selling their poor conditions.

This was reflected in the slogans such as "Poverty for sale" on the placards during protests at the home of Anil Kapoor, the lead actor in the movie. The protests were ignited by the anger of slum inhabitants at the way the film deals with life in the slums and the use of 'dog' in the title.

Slumdog Millionaire is written and directed with one eye on the western markets and the other eye on the easy cash that can be made from exploiting the massive film market in India and among Indians around the world.

People looking to make profit in the film industry have noted that some non-English language Bollywood movies make more money in Britain than popular English-language movies produced in Europe. The Indian film industry is very attractive for investors, particularly those from Britain which has a significant Indian population.

British script writers and investors have been looking for the magic formula to produce a commercial movie in English that would be popular in both India and Britain, thus taking a share in the millions made by the Indian film industry.

But Slumdog Millionaire fails to capture the popular imagination of the average Indian and of course the people of the 'slums'. However, the movie attempts to grab the western mind with some shocking imagery.

Disappointing

In a world where the poor are repeatedly told that getting rich is the only way to end their misery, many dream of being a millionaire. But Slumdog Millionaire only glances across the surface of that question before quickly moving on to the cheap love story.

The boy from the slums gets on to the Indian version of Who wants to be a millionaire and wins the 20 million rupees maximum prize. His life story is told through an interrogation of how he knows all the answers.

Slumdog is a very average story made exotic by its setting in India. The extremes of poverty and violence graphically portrayed are not novel but they will be new in the context of a blockbuster for a European audience.

The movie has a very promising start with fast camera action following the boys running through the slums. The children played their characters very well but then the screenplay settles on a patronising middle-class tourist's perspective of the slum, where even the toilet's contents are made to look beautiful on the screen!

Maybe it was this prettifying of the deep and horrific poverty endemic in India, this so-called 'emerging' power, that led Prince Charles to recently recommend the architectural form of the slums as a design model for meeting the residential needs of today.

If anyone is keen to watch this film to find out about life in the Indian slum they will be disappointed. Salaam Bombay!, directed by Mira Nair in 1988, gives a far deeper insight.

Directed by Danny Boyle

Reviewed by Senan and Sarah

Sunday, 1 February 2009

SRI LANKA: QUARTER OF A MILLION CIVILIANS TRAPPED IN WAR ZONE


SOCIALISTS DEMAND ACTION TO END THE NIGHTMARE

Faced with starvation and death, between 250,000 and 400,000 civilians are trapped in a small area in the north of Sri Lanka. They have been in a nightmare situation since early January, when the Sri Lankan military moved into Kilinochchi – the headquarters of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE). The LTTE have been fighting for a separate homeland for over 30 years.

Recently the LTTE have suffered a massive military setback in the face of the Sri Lankan government's military offensive. Before the military moved into Kilinochchi and into Mullaithivu town, the LTTE had evacuated the Tamil population to the areas where they maintain control. The LTTE now only controls small parts of Mullaithivu, a northern district surrounded by the Sri Lankan military. There are no housing or food facilities in this area. Relief agencies and the media are banned from the war zone by the government.

Last week the Sri Lankan government announced a very small safety zone near Mullaithivu. Some relief agencies and media personnel are allowed into this safety zone but only under military escort. This safety zone, however, does not have sufficient shelter, medicine and food to accommodate the hundreds of thousands trapped in this hell.

Mullaithivu is one of the poorest regions in the country. As part of the war on the LTTE, this area has been suffering under a government blockade for months. In the last two weeks this situation has worsened. There have been no reports of food supplies to these people. Thousands are believed to be starving to death, including thousands of children.

This situation is described by the relief agencies as a "silent tsunami". Not only are the fleeing people's conditions worsening and levels of starvation at breaking point, but they are also under fire from the Sri Lankan military. Even in the safety zone there are reports of heavy shelling. There are various reports of hundreds and even thousands of deaths, but, due to the government's information blackout, it is impossible to know how many have died.

Humanitarian crisis

The government has made no attempt whatsoever to protect the trapped people. Many may not even be aware of the safety zone, but it serves as a propaganda point for the government. Meanwhile, disgusting patriotic rhetoric and a ruthless and racist attitude is displayed by Rajapakse, the current president, and his ruling family and friends. Much of this goes unchallenged. Journalists and other media personnel under the constant threat of physical attacks by government-sponsored thugs. With the brutal murder of Lasantha Wickmeratunge, one of the country's most respected journalists, the government intended to send a message that all who seek to speak out about government corruption or to tell the truth about the government's persecution and military assaults will face repression or even death. Even Sri Lanka's German ambassador was called before the government and criticised after speaking against the media suppression at Lasantha's funeral. Since Lasantha's death another editor has been stabbed and numerous other attacks on media personnel have taken place.

As the appalling humanitarian crisis unfolds in the north of Sri Lanka, the government leaders are sponsoring celebrations in the south. The media have been urged to produce patriotic articles and reports.

The LTTE did not comply with the request to move the civilians to the safety zone. Having evacuated the population to territory under their control, the LTTE have shown no intention of letting anyone get away. This marks a change to previous conflicts when people have been able to move into areas controlled by the government army as they advanced. This time no one was allowed to escape. The LTTE has not made any attempt to create a safety zone in the area they control. Instead they are moving people further back into areas where there are no facilities - water, food, medicine or shelter. There are no hospitals in these areas. There are no facilities to treat the injured. There are no services to deal with the growing numbers of dead bodies and there are reports of corpses lying in the fields for days. These horrors go beyond those seen in all the years of war in Sri Lanka.

The Sri Lankan government believes it can achieve victory over the LTTE before 4 February, when they are planning massive 'Freedom Day' independence celebrations. The United Socialist Party (USP), the Sri Lankan section of the Committee for a Workers' International, has helped to create a broad opposition called the 'Freedom Platform' which is organising a major protest on the same day. It is also calling for solidarity protests internationally on 4 February. Its main slogans are: Freedom to live. Freedom of expression - in the media and in politics. No to war. No to killings and kidnappings.

Despite the government's attempts to silence any kind of opposition to its war drive and racist chauvinism, the USP is continuing its campaigning against the government. not only against the offensive on the population in the north and the suppression of free speech and democratic rights in the south. It urges a united struggle of Sinhala and Tamil workers and poor throughout the island to get rid of the rotten regime of Rajapakse. It stands firmly for the right of Tamil-speaking people to self-determination and for a socialist alternative to capitalism and imperialism.

Senan, CWI

30 January 2009


 


己丑牛年(2009年)新年快乐!
星期天, 25 一月 2009.

俯首甘为孺子牛!我们在前进!

chinaworker.info
cwi.china@gmail.com

2009年,注定是一个不同寻常的年份。1919年"五四运动"90周年,1949年中国革命60周年,1989年六四运动20周年,在世界经济危机席卷之下,人类社会的前途,无产者的命运值得每一个觉悟的工人与青年思考。

世界上最大规模的人口流动遍布全国,但这次春节对于众多的民众而言却是对未来充满了不确定性. 已经有超过一千万农民工失去了工作,但更为不幸的是这一切却才刚刚开始。许多工人仍然被拖欠着工资,但节后他们的雇主却会关门倒闭或者索性就此消失。当节后数以百万计的工人再次回到城市里的时候却会发现已经无业可就,中国快速增长的经济遭受了全球危机严重的影响。执政当局警告说会出现一轮新的犯罪高潮(但事实上农民工却是犯罪浪潮的第一批牺牲者—盗走劳动者维持生活最起码的血汗工资难道不是犯罪吗?),但当局所恐惧的却是因为群众无路可走而进行的抗议可能"威胁他们的稳定"。不过事实上正是当局的资本主义政策导致了这一状况—将中国转变成为"世界的血汗工厂",而如今却变为了"世界的失业大军"。这一政策带来的结果是数以百万计的利润为极少数百万富翁(美元计)所掌握;而如今由于经济危机这一世界性的资本主义体系不再需要"血汗工厂"的产品。没有社会保障、健康服务和养老金,中国庞大的农民工大军不得不继续保持流动,追寻越来越少的工作机会。而这种为追逐利润而形成的体系只有我们社会主义者所追寻的制度才能实现根本改变。

未来的一年将充满危机、失业、经济动荡。但它也将成为斗争的一年—进行斗争以改变群众的根本状况组织起来进行反击。作为个别的个体我们是孤立无助的,企求于老板和国家机器的怜悯是无望的, 只有组织起来才能发挥我们的力量!

天行健,君子自强不息;地势坤,君子厚德载物。我们努力,我们奋斗,我们前进,因为我们相信一个半世纪前马克思所说的必能实现:

世界上最古老最巩固的帝国八年来被英国资产者的印花布带到了一场必将对文明产生极其重要结果的社会变革的前夕。当我们的欧洲反动分子不久的将来在亚洲逃难,最后到达万里长城,到达最反动最保守的堡垒的大门的时候,他们说不定会看见上面写着:中华共和国 自由、平等、博爱。 [卡尔·马克思《农民起义和太平天国革命》]

工人们、青年们、社会主义者们,努力啊,奋起啊!

祝中国的劳动大众牛年快乐!

祝全世界所有的无产者们中国新年快乐!

Thursday, 29 January 2009

BRITAIN: THE CRISIS IN MANUFACTURING


FIGHTING FOR JOBS AND LIVING STANDARDS


 

A FIGHTING socialist solution to the growing capitalist threat to workers' jobs and living standards is the only way forward for the trade union movement. The slaughter of jobs continues in 2009, following the crash of the banking system in 2008 that led to increased job losses, especially in the finance sector. But now the economic crisis is hitting home with a vengeance in the rest of the economy.

The car industry, in Britain and Europe as well as the USA, has entered new depths of recession. The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) has just announced that December's car production in the UK was 47.5% lower than it was in the same period in 2007. This is primarily due to the long Christmas shut-downs.

The SMMT also announced in January that the number of new cars sold in the UK in 2008 fell by 11.3% from 2007.

Honda will stop production at their Swindon plant in April and May. They had already planned to close the plant for February and March anyway as a result of the absolute decline in car sales.

The workers are expected to live on a much reduced pay packet throughout this four-month period. They will only get basic pay for the first two months and then 50% of this for the next two months. Even basic pay is a lot less than what they would get normally, which would include shift premiums which can equal up to 30% of basic pay.

All the main car companies have drastically reduced their production plans for 2009. In Europe as a whole car sales fell more than 20% in the last quarter of 2008 and are expected to fall another 20% in 2009. In the USA sales have fallen even more, by up to 40% already and Chrysler is not expected to exist by the end of the year. Chrysler has brought production to a halt in all its 30 USA plants and has no overseas plants to fall back on, unlike General Motors and Ford.

The US unions have been told that their members are expected to take drastic pay cuts and the company pension and health schemes are being cut back to the bone. The leaders of the United Auto Workers (UAW) union are in discussions with the bosses but it is clear that they will accept much of what is being proposed unless there is massive pressure on them from below.

Wage cuts

Already wage cuts are taking place in other companies. For example the Teamsters union has agreed with the second biggest hauliers in America, YRC, for their 40,000 members to take a 10% pay cut.

In Britain, Nissan in Sunderland has already announced that 1,400 jobs are to go and Jaguar/Landrover is getting rid of another 600 jobs. All these figures do not take into account that thousands of temporary contract and agency workers in these factories have already been sacked, both prior to Christmas and since, when their contracts were not renewed.

That has certainly been the case in the Ford Transit plant in Southampton, where a campaign by the National Shop Stewards Network (NSSN) managed to stop some of this happening. The agency workers saw what the campaign was doing to keep the factory open and took heart. At one stage they threatened to take strike action when the company tried to lay them off on £20 per day for a week and nothing thereafter. Instead they secured a more favourable deal.

Ford want to close the Southampton plant and send Transit van production to Turkey, but the battle continues to save the plant.

The euro commissioner for industry Günter Verheugan, at a meeting of ministers to discuss the crisis in the European car industry, pronounced a "brutal outlook" for the industry. He said that at the same time as ruling out any change to the EU rules that outlaw direct individual state aid to domestic car companies.

The meeting was Peter Mandelson's idea, who is under pressure from the car companies and unions to stomp up state aid for the industry in Britain. They were calling for £13 billion in state aid to be given to the car firms, which in the main are owned by overseas firms. The European car companies, along with the unions, are calling for a total state aid package of 46 million euros. It is clear that the European capitalists are reluctant to go down this road but it is not ruled out as the crisis deepens.

But what are the trade unions doing lining up with the bosses? We can see that in the USA state aid goes hand-in-hand with demands by the bosses and government for the workers to take cuts. Why don't the union leaders call for the government to take over the industry instead of giving the greedy bosses even more cash to line their pockets?

Tony Woodley and Derek Simpson, the joint general secretaries of Unite, the main union that organises the car industry in Britain, have greeted each new announcement of cut backs and falling production with calls for state aid. In response to Honda's four-month shut down, Simpson just indicated that the government should step in with assistance. It is clear that the union leaders are frightened to raise the idea of nationalisation.

Tied as they are to the Labour Party and government, the union leaders are afraid to raise nationalisation because the Labour Party leaders are fearful of being accused of bringing back 'old Labour'. The TUC has obviously decided that inaction is the best strategy for ensuring a Labour victory in the next general election. But the Labour leaders will be just as ineffectual in the face of economic crisis after a general election as they are now.

Nationalisation

Brown was forced to nationalise some of the banking system after capitalist economists said that this was necessary. The ruling class knows that this "state capitalism" was required to save their financial system.

This has had the effect though of raising the idea with working people that the state takeover of companies that threaten to cut jobs is not only possible but the rational way forward.

There is a battle going on, sometimes behind the scenes and sometimes in the open, between the different wings of the ruling class. Financial capitalism is the dominant wing and whilst those capitalists were reluctantly forced to accept the intervention of the state to save the banking system, they do not want such aid to go any further.

The Financial Times (FT) opposed any state aid for manufacturing industry in an editorial last year when the American car companies first asked the Bush administration for aid. It has adopted the same attitude to the call for the British government to give state aid to the car industry. This led to Richard Lambert, the director of the bosses' organisation the CBI, running to the defence of manufacturing in general in a letter to the FT.

The CBI points out in other publications that manufacturing accounts for 16% of employment in Britain, around 2.6.million workers, yet another 2.4 million workers in the service sector are dependent on the manufacturing sector.

The TUC has revealed that, whilst there has been a rapid decline in the role of manufacturing industry in the British economy, it is still responsible for half of all exports. In the West Midlands region it is responsible for 23% of all full-time jobs.

The region has 1,500 companies dependent on the car industry, employing some 115,000 workers and generating £13 billion in sales. The collapse of the industry would deal a death blow to the region.

With so many manufacturing jobs linked to the car industry, the ending of car production in Britain would virtually finish off the country's large-scale manufacturing base.

Wages in manufacturing are 20% higher than in other parts of the economy. But under the dominance of finance capitalism, the prospects for manufacturing remain bleak. British manufacturing is at the moment the sixth biggest in the world but by 2025 it will fall to the eighth biggest.

The TUC indicated last November in a paper entitled Manufacturing Matters that, despite the propaganda, the jobs heading to eastern Europe or Asia are not part of some 'natural' process. It is a deliberate policy of the British capitalists, who long ago gave up trying to compete with their overseas rivals.

Not exactly in those words, that would be too much to expect, but that is what the TUC means when it says "there is no inevitability about this", that is, jobs going east and manufacturing employment collapsing in the west.

De-industrialisation

This process was speeded up enormously under Thatcher's deliberate policy of de-industrialisation as a means of breaking the power of the unions and the organised working class. Thatcher's short-sighted policies, reinforced with gusto by the Blair-Brown governments, allowed foreign capitalists to take over British industry. In a time of crisis such as this, the 'parent' companies are likely to sacrifice their satellites and withdraw to their base, leaving workers to pay the price.

The TUC report in November last year demonstrated clearly that the British capitalist strategy continues to be one of ending manufacturing. Between 1998 and 2008 the number of manufacturing jobs in the 'old' EU countries, fell by 1.712 million but of this, Britain was responsible for 84%, some 1.432 million jobs.

In that 10-year period, countries like Italy and Spain increased their number of manufacturing jobs and Germany, the biggest economy in Europe, only lost some 143,000 jobs.

Of course in the new recession, these figures have gone into a massive downward spiral. But the point is still well made that British manufacturing was set on a course of decline, primarily by the financial capitalists, whose machinations have led to the latest banking crisis.

Now the bankers have been bailed out to the tune of billions of pounds but so far the plight of manufacturing industry has been neglected. Yet the promises of a rosy future for British capitalism as a centre for the financial and service industries are turning into ashes. Estimates are that London alone could lose 370,000 jobs by 2010 as a result of the banking collapse.

Whatever the differences between the various wings of the capitalist class, the trade unions should have an independent class programme and policy, not just meekly follow the call of capitalist manufacturers for government money.

This path, as is being discovered in the USA, means that union members are expected to make major concessions in their wage packets and working conditions. And the US car industry is still in dire straits.

When workers lose jobs in the car industry, they are unlikely to be able to find another job on similar wages. This is shown by the experience of those workers made redundant by Rover at Longbridge in 2005. Two-thirds of those who managed to find other jobs are on lower wages than they earned at Rover.

Capitalist class to blame

What is needed is for the union leaders to make a clear call that the crisis is not of the workers' making but is the fault of the capitalist class that owns vehicle-making and manufacturing as a whole.

The car industry throughout the capitalist world has been a source of massive profits for decades.

The American press has recalled that in the 1950s it was the unions that held the whip hand, primarily because of the huge domestic demand for American cars. The Washington Post on 20 December said: "In 1950, for example, General Motors reported record profits, declared the largest stockholder dividend in US corporate history and couldn't build cars fast enough.

"So when the United Auto Workers threatened to strike, the company agreed a landmark deal with pensions, a cost of living formula and cut-rate health insurance. Fortune magazine hailed it as 'the treaty of Detroit'".

In 1970 the leader of the UAW, Walter Reuther said: "We are without question, the strongest and most effective industrial union in the world... We have taken on the most powerful corporations in the world, and, despite their power and their great wealth, we have always prevailed".

What a far cry from those days when the same union prepares to sign a deal to give back most of these reforms.

The same could be said about the industry in Britain. The TGWU (now part of Unite) in the 1970s had two million members. Along with the engineering union, the AEEU, its strength was based around the car industry.

The unions should point out that the crisis is not of workers' making but wholly down to a system that produces goods for profit and not for need.

In the modern era and under a socialist plan of production, the skills of the workers in the car industry would be utilised to produce for the needs of society as a whole. This would include producing vehicles that do not damage the environment.

The key question facing workers in the car industry and manufacturing as a whole now is defending jobs and keeping factories open.

There is no inevitability about the collapse of the car industry in Britain. What matters is the fighting capacity of the trade union leadership, particularly at shop steward level.

The conference of car workers called by the NSSN in Birmingham on 14 February is therefore particularly important. There, reps from car factories around the country and abroad will hammer out the necessary policies to fight back against the threats to jobs and living standards.

The Socialist Party (CWI England and Wales) believes this programme should include:

  • Opposition to all jobs cuts. Share out the work without loss of pay including full pay during "down time".
  • No to transfer of work between plants without the agreement of the unions and workers concerned.
  • No to concession bargaining.
  • Open the books to inspection by shop stewards and trade union committees - where have all the profits gone?
  • Nationalise all plants under threat of closure and run them under democratic workers' control and management.
Bill Mullins, CWI England and Wales

ERA OF ILLUSIONS IN CAPITALISM ENDING


Britain: Government fails to find a way out of crisis

So the economy is now officially in recession. No great surprise, as most people feel they have been suffering recession-like conditions for six months already.

The latest blow is the announcement, by Corus steel, that it is cutting 2,500 jobs in the UK. It is sacking 2,500 skilled industrial workers who will mostly not find equivalent work. Many, plus others in the industry's supply companies, will join a dole queue that is nearing two million and predicted to rise to over three million, over the next year.

Corus steel was once the publicly owned British Steel, which employed 268,000 workers when it came into being, as a nationalised company, in 1967. Privatisation in 1988 threw the fate of Britain's steel workers back into the hands of private profiteers, with the end result that the 24,000 steel workers left in Britain today are at the mercy of Indian big business conglomerate, Tata Steel.

Gordon Brown's improvement in the opinion polls – mainly due to the blunders of Tory leader David Cameron – quickly evaporated, as the realisation set in that the recession will be both deep and prolonged. The economist Nouriel Roubini, now renowned for foreseeing the recession, was considered delusional and labelled Dr Doom in 2006, when he warned of the crisis to come. Now, the severity of the crisis has hit home to even the most upbeat capitalist politicians and economists, some of whom are succumbing to fear and demoralisation.

Capitalists scared and demoralised

They are having difficulty in seeing light at the end of the tunnel, as the economy is going to get even worse, before it gets better. Roubini made this clear in a Guardian interview last weekend when he said, "We might as well write off 2009 completely … The losses now are mostly in mortgages; wait until it hits commercial real estate, the credit card companies, the auto loans, the student loans, the corporate bonds. There's a whole pile of stuff. The financial system is insolvent … technically bankrupt".

But no-one, including Roubini, and certainly not the government, knows the extent of this bankruptcy – the amount of toxic debt held by the banks. So Gordon Brown and Chancellor Alistair Darling are floundering in their attempts to tackle it, with fewer and fewer people believing that they can avoid worse catastrophe.

Hundreds of billions of pounds of public money spent on bailing out banks, cutting VAT and other measures, together with lower than ever interest rates, are not having enough effect.

No sign of recovery

Neither are there signs of economic recovery outside of Britain. The pound has slumped to a 23-year low against the dollar, but this is an indication of the weakness of the UK economy, rather than any strength of the US economy. US president Barack Obama wants to push a new $800 billion (£486 billion) stimulus package through the US congress to create four million jobs. But over 2.5 million jobs have already been lost and five million more are predicted to go, so unemployment will still rise. New York Times columnist Paul Krugman argues that a US package of double the present magnitude is necessary to avoid a severe slump.

So, in Britain, with most economic indicators diving to their worst level for 30 years, Darling decided to authorise the Bank of England to release more emergency money into the economy this week and he realises he must prepare a third emergency package in time for the spring budget. Help for the car industry, and green technology and infrastructure projects are among the measures being discussed.

As well as these desperate attempts to boost the economy, there is speculation that the spring budget will include plans for future tax increases and expenditure cuts to reduce the public deficit, now standing at £697.5 billion and rising fast. Such future cuts will be on top of slash and burn measures that are ongoing, or presently being stepped up, in parts of the public sector, despite the recession, for instance by councils like Wirral, and in sections of the civil service.

So working and middle class people will be assaulted on all fronts, through lack of jobs, no financial security and worse public services. British capitalism has never been so exposed in its failure to deliver reasonable living standards to the majority of the population. An anaemic economic recovery will at some stage set in, but an era of illusions in capitalism has ended and a new one is opening up, delivered by this present abrupt and shocking economic downturn.

Socialist change needed – build a new mass workers' party!

Defenders of capitalism try to blame excesses and a lack of 'moral compass' for the crisis, suggesting solutions such as Will Hutton's call for "a different kind of capitalism, less dependent on reckless bankers and property bubbles" (Observer 25.1.09). The Socialist Party (CWI in England and Wales) explains that yes, there are reckless bankers and property bubbles, but these are by-products of a system that is essentially rotten to the core, and that must be removed.

It is still the case – incredibly, given the situation workers face – that no leading left or trade union individual is championing the building of a new mass workers' party. The Socialist Party will ceaselessly call for one, and argue that it will need a socialist programme, to demand nationalisation in the interests of workers as opposed to nationalisation in the interests of the bosses; the sharing out of all the work that is available, with no loss of pay; a massive building programme of good quality council houses; an end to the war in Afghanistan; and many other demands that would quickly attract tens of thousands of people to join the new party.

The Socialist Party shares none of the demoralisation of the capitalist commentators. Party activists are meeting more and more workers and young people who are interested in supporting a socialist alternative. Not only does the basis exist for the future development of a new mass workers' party that can aid mass struggles and seriously challenge the parties serving the rich, but the Socialist Party is increasing in size and influence to help speed forward the development of the labour movement and of Marxist ideas within it. Join us.

Editorial from the Socialist, paper of the Socialist Party (CWI in England and Wales)